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Preparing The Week Ahead


The coming week is going to be more important than you may think, not only because there are many risk events on the doc that can spur volatility but also because it can mark the turn in the equity market. Don't call me wrong because I'm not calling a crash just a major correction. Since this can be a major topic on itself I'm not going to talk about it here as there are many details that need to be covered. However I'm just going to give you a major hint and I would recommend to watch ES react…
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fxsurprise8 avatar

great article. Where do you find up to date probabilities for rates?

Daytrader21 avatar

fxsurprise8 You would have to look at bond yields. Look at the 12 month bill  yielding 1.930%, cash rates are at 2.25% -->big money saying 25 bps cut on Tuesday. Here is a free website where you can look at yields (see above), or you can find the data in excel and construct your charts there. I hope it helps. 

fxsurprise8 avatar

ah thanks a lot

orto leave comments
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Many interesting topics.

Humility is a virtue. Quite, dignified self-confidence is the mark of the civilised man, while boasting is for those who project outwards arrogance because they lack inner assertiveness.
Having said that,
I'm number one! I'm number one! Woo hoo!
Now I have reached 1st financial position in the trader contest, I might still do some trading to keep my lead intact and help towards the quarterly performance contest, but the main obstacle to my coming first in terms of points in the trader contest is…
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The Hollywood Indicator


Following the success and the popularity of my last blog post on trading movies pattern I've decided to take this one step further. You can find this blog post and the chart that I'm speaking about here:"The Wolf of Wall Street Movie Review". It was a chart showing the pattern between Wall Street movies and the Stock market crash.
This time we're going to look at every Wall Street movie ever made and this time you will see that Wall Street movies not only that have predicted some of the most s…
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Jignesh avatar
Jignesh 1 Feb.

Wow what an interesting read! I was just saying today that I've had several people asking me recently for "stock tips" that know nothing about markets. My theory is that the FED has effectively taken the "fear" out of the markets with stimulus. I like the message of your blog - When the general public gets so excited about the markets (and start making movies!) you know the end of the 5th wave is near.

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The U.S. Dollar: Too Much of a Good Thing?

The U.S. dollar really is everyone’s problem. There are more dollars in circulation worldwide than any other currency – perhaps more than all other currencies combined as a full two-thirds of the rest of the world’s foreign reserves are denominated in the U.S. dollar. It’s also true that two-thirds of all dollars circulate outside of the United States. They have long been the choice of exchange on the world’s black markets. The reason is because they are so recognizable and accepted everywhere e…
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stuff_trader avatar

The problem with such a ‘solution’ is that the problem wouldn’t go away by simply erasing zeros on the currency or introducing a new name for the dollar. The inflation dynamic would still be present if no other action were taken in conjunction with such action.

dynamic_life avatar

This would make interest rates rise, collapse demand for new offerings, and make dollars return to the U.S., thus stoking domestic inflation.

jalil_naftarov avatar

The U.S. dollar really is everyone’s problem.

lada_stanley avatar

maybe

ivan_ohlobistin avatar

A failure of the U.S. dollar would mean that, at a minimum, the cost of everything, but especially anything we import, would rise dramatically. In a worst case scenario, the dollar would not be accepted in any quantity for goods or services, either domestic or foreign.

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