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UK CPI Data Live Coverage 16.01.2018

CommunityTV Posted 17 Jan.  in #Webinar #United Kingdom #Inflation
The Dukascopy Research Team covers the fundamentals and technicals of the economic data release. Research Team members discuss the historical data for the particular news release, talk through the potential positive and negative surprise trading strategy and try to project the possible market reaction.
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EUR/GBP Returns to the Mean

fxsurprise8 Posted 30 Sep. as Analysis on EUR/GBP, Target: 0.8818, Date: 1st of November, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP #United Kingdom #Euro #EUR/GBP #European Union #Pound #Mean Reversion #Brexit #Negotiations
The EUR/GBP is slowly returning to the mean. In August the pair dropped from a high of 0.9261 to close the month off at 0.8815. After the large gains during the past few months the pair is finally losing some ground.
But as can see on our next chart, the long-term trend on the weekly chart is still very bullish. These two conflicting trends as well as the congestion area the pair is in right now (see rectangle on chart one) should keep prices in range. Thus I'm betting on more range for the EUR/…
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EUR/GBP to Calm Down

fxsurprise8 Posted 31 Aug. as Analysis on EUR/GBP, Target: 0.9209, Date: 2nd of October, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP #United Kingdom #Euro #EUR/GBP #European Union #Pound #Stochastic #Brexit #Negotiations
The EUR/GBP continues its strong rally. In August the pair advanced by another near 200 pips move and is currently resting above the 0.9000 round figure.
But as you can see on the chart above, indicators are already flashing red. The weekly Stochastic Oscillator is printing values over 90, indicating a very overbought market. On our next chart below we see a similar situation on the monthly chart.
Here too the (5,3,3) Stochastic is printing values over 90. I also added 3 lines to indicate what h…
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UK Construction PMI

Sanju777 Posted 2 May  in #Trader's blog #GBP #United Kingdom
The Chartered Institute of Purchasing and Supply (CIPS) Construction Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the construction industry. A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the construction industry; a reading below indicates contraction. It gives an indication about the health of the construction section in the UK. Traders watch these surveys closely as purchasing managers usually have early access to data about their company’s performance, wh…
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EUR/GBP Stalls at Resistance Levels

fxsurprise8 Posted 31 Oct. as Analysis on EUR/GBP, Target: 0.8966, Date: 1st of December, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR #United Kingdom #Europe #Resistance #Cable #Rally #EUR/GBP #Pound #Brexit
The long-term trend in the EUR/GBP is undoubtedly up, prompted by the weaker Pound and exacerbated by Brexit. But the rally is hitting against some serious road-block in the face of several multi-year resistance levels. First we have the 2011 high at 0.9086. This is followed by the 2009 high at 0.9407 and finally we have the 2008 high at 0.9804.
During the past few weeks the pair topped out just below this second one of the resistance levels above and is now heading down. Take a look at the shor…
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Time for a Reversal in Cable

fxsurprise8 Posted 31 Oct. as Analysis on GBP/USD, Target: 1.2888, Date: 1st of December, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP #USD #United Kingdom #GBP/USD #Resistance #Us Dollar #Pound #Average True Range #Brexit
The Pound has been one of the worst performing currencies this year. Hit by speculative shorts after Brexit, the GBP can't catch a break despite a series of surprising economic news. But the technicals may be pointing to a turn of the tide. On our first chart below we see two important signals.
First, the GBP/USD printed lows below 20 on the Stochastic Oscillator (oversold territory) and is now rallying back above it. This is a bullish signal. Two, we are seeing a bullish divergence between the …
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Brexit Support Will Not Hold

fxsurprise8 Posted 30 Sep. as Analysis on GBP/USD, Target: 1.2516, Date: 1st of November, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #USD #United Kingdom #GBP/USD #Support #Cable #Us Dollar #Pound #Average True Range #Brexit
Cable has been relatively stable post-Brexit. The lows hit shortly after the event have yet to be broken. But the bears are not giving up yet! On our first chart below we can see that prices have made two attempts post-Brexit to crack the 1.2800 support. So far the level is holding but with each new test, the odds increase that we will see a break.
On our next chart below we can see that the long-term trend for GBP/USD has been down. We are currently quoted over 4,000 pips below the highs noted…
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Change trend GBP/USD to UP 1.4900

Sergey_Kuznetsov Posted 14 Jan. as Analysis on GBP/USD, Target: 1.47365, Date: 1st of March, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP #United Kingdom #GBP/USD #Gbpusd #GBP/USD Forecast #GBP/USD看跌
GBP/USD крупное падение фунта стерлингов. Происходит коррекционное движение вверх
Target GBP/USD >>> 1.47365
Почему ожидается рост?
1) 65% трейдеров активно продают. Покупателей мало.
Большое количество заявок именно на продажу
Смена тренда на бычий, когда все встали именно на продажу.
Вброс новостей о том что GBP/USD будет падать дальше до 1.3000 тому подтверждение.
Зона перепроданности находится на 1.5000
Уровень сопротивления: 1.50140
1) Прошел вывод большого капитала из Великобритании
- Восст…
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5 Comments
Sergey_Kuznetsov avatar
Sergey_Kuznetsov 14 Jan.

Full screen:

https://ru.tradingview.com/chart/08wnl41Q/#

If you want to see all information.

fx211pips avatar
fx211pips 14 Jan.

great analysis. If 65% of retailers are selling then it must go up sooner or later. Big banks will always put retailers on the wrong side of the trade. And if the news are bearish on the pound than it is time to  buy. The chart is very good.

Daniil_Stolnikov avatar
Daniil_Stolnikov 17 Jan.

по опционам - пустота после ~1,43. Коррекции - быть!

bagema2015 avatar
bagema2015 17 Jan.

Надеюсь фунт удержит свою позицию ,  и не упадёт еще ниже!!

Sergey_Kuznetsov avatar
Sergey_Kuznetsov 17 Jan.

Опционные уровни показывают что пора на коррекцию к 1.49, 1.50, а дальше судя по поведению нефти можем еще сильней провалиться вниз.

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GBP/JPY UP TREND Correction to 174.946 1 March

Sergey_Kuznetsov Posted 14 Jan. as Analysis on GBP/JPY, Target: 174.946, Date: 1st of March, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP #United Kingdom #GBP/JPY #Gbpjpy
GBP/JPY на больших объемах спада экономики Великобритании падал ниже 169.000
Target GBP/JPY >>> 174.946
Что это значит?
1) Сильное укрепление JPY из-за валюты фондирования
2) Вывод большого капитала из Великобритании
- Вывод капитала Российскими олигархами, крупными инвесторами США из-за политики и скандала вокруг Дональда Трампа
- Возможный выход Великобритании из ЕвроСоюза скажется на потерю интереса
- Приток беженцев сокращает бюджеты что так же влияет на давление
- Стоимость нефти падает, что…
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4 Comments
fx211pips avatar
fx211pips 14 Jan.

great job, insightful and practical

Sergey_Kuznetsov avatar
Sergey_Kuznetsov 14 Jan.

;) thanks

Daniil_Stolnikov avatar
Daniil_Stolnikov 17 Jan.

Все верно - йена укрепляется, фунт падает.

bagema2015 avatar
bagema2015 17 Jan.

Всё верно в этом случае!Молодец!

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More Losses for Cable

fxsurprise8 Posted 30 Sep. as Analysis on GBP/USD, Target: 1.472, Date: 2nd of November, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #UK #United Kingdom #GBP/USD #Cable #Us Dollar #Losses #Downtrend #GBP/USD Forecast
Cable lost over 230 pips in September. We opened the month at 1.5362 and look set to close near 1.5130. The chart below shows this downtrend clearly.
But I don't think the losses are done for the Pound. Yesterday and today we've cleared several important support levels, at 1.5170, 1.5162 and finally 1.5134. It wasn't an easy task, each move lower was aggressively bought up. But eventually we kept coming back down. With these levels now cleared, the road is open to the 1.4600 swing low. Right abo…
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