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AUD/USD

Indicators:
Ema: 50, 30
Horizontal/verticals lines / resistence
Indicators used:
Atr = weekly, monthly average ranges
CCI = Momentum indicator / shows reverseal on monthly
fundamentals:

Interest Rates:

Australia: 1.5 %
USA: 0.75
Inflation:

USA: 0.3 % monthly = 3.6 % yearly
Australia: 0.5 % quarterly = 2 % yearly
Growth:
USA: GDP: 1.9 % Previous 3.5 %
Australia: - 0.5 % quarterly = 2 %
The negative Gdp of last quarter is seen as temporary effect by the RBA. Australia has a very high correlatio…
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NZD/USD - Going down!

  • Charts: 4Hours, 1 Day.
  • Elements used: Fibonacci Fan Lines ,Fibonacci Retracements.
  • Prepared with : JForex 4.
  • Current Level : 0.8756
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Metal_Mind avatar

UPDATE 1:After the retracement that i predict correctly the price action picked up and corected itself. Current price level is 0.851 which os over 102 pips below my target. This is a good prediction but with a day to go may be to far from target.

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GBP/CAD powerfull sell trend after Canadian housing market growth


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khalidamassi avatar

Wonderful

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US Economic Outlook for the Near Future.

Economy
US economic growth will be modest in 4Q 2013 and show slight acceleration in 2014. Weak consumer spending will continue due to weak consumer income growth although housing recovery will support consumer confidence. Fiscal issues will remain a negative factor. Business fixed investment is vulnerable to economic uncertainty although corporate sector has healthy balance sheets.

Interest rates

I expect yields to rise gradually as US economy improves slowly. Recent weak employment report m…
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India is facing the battle of inflation v growth.

It's worth taking a look back at India, and the progress under the new(ish) Governor.
It is reassuring to note that the pressure on the currency noted back in early September has abated, with the record lows seen then, reversed by some 10%. The rebound exhibited there has also been reflected by a similar rise over the same time frame in the Sensex. Governor Rajan was only appointed on 4 September this year, so he can look back on his first 2 months as very satisfactory – but greater challenges l…
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What to expect in the second quarter?

In the first quarter’s revised U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) numbers, we found consumer spending in the U.S. economy was slow, dragging U.S. economic growth lower. Going forward, I can’t help but to expect more of the same. We are already getting warnings from major financial institutions that U.S. GDP growth in the second quarter will be dismal. The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc expects the U.S. economy to grow at only 0.8% in the second quarter. The Royal Bank of Scotland Group and Barclays …
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Nadin5794 avatar

Все говорят о том ,что доллар более стабилен в среднесрочной перспективе,я отношусь к этому скептически,цифры аналитики только верхушка айсберга.Социальный и политический климат в Европе несколько спокойней будет всегда ,так как союзное государство стремится к выработке компромисса не прибегая к прямой конфронтации населением с руководством(госаппаратом),боюсь что американцы уже не пойдут на компромиссы после ипотечного кризиса,реформ министерства обороны и т.д...

annatimone avatar

Nadia, I think you are right. Dollar in a short term will be stable against Euro and major four (Euro, Swiss, Sterling and Japanese Yen). Since, US economy was expanding over the last year and a half, and Europe being stagnated, any surprising slowdown in the US (like housing) could bring more slowdown in Europe, which in return will create a drop in Euro and Sterling.

Nadin5794 avatar

sooner or later the inflated digits of statistics should be given to real indexes, Europe in this sense is more pragmatic...

annatimone avatar

I agree. I often suspect that economic data/reports in the United States are fixed and not real. Generally, news in the United States is bias. If you want to get a real story, look in European media.

Nadin5794 avatar

today I am once again convinced that both sides of this confrontation are very unstable and it is possible to wait for anything...

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Growth....a revised, revised approach?

The Office for National Statistics in the UK announced that second quarter growth showed an increase of 0.6% - the best growth figures since mid-2010. BUT, what does this growth figure actually mean to the wider population? The answer is very little. With other closely scrutinized numbers such as unemployment stats, and inflation figures, at least there is a relevance to peoples’ daily lives, but what about GDP?? The breakdown of this figure is where the real interest lies. The services side …
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Nadin5794 avatar

haha)) good start of week

annatimone avatar

:) Very optimistic..:) How was your weekend?

Nadin5794 avatar

good and thnx for ask

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Marc Spaelti, Dukascopy VP and COO, discusses USD/JPY

Dear Traders!Today at 12:00 GMT we have a very special guest for our live webinar, our very own Marc Spaelti, Dukascopy Vice President and Chief Operational Officer! He will be having a look at a very popular currency pair - USD/JPY, and also talk about Abe's new growth strategy.So make sure not to miss this unique opportunity, listen to his forecasts and ask him questions that interest you the most on the hot topic!More info: http://www.dukascopy.com/tv/Live?path=topic/show&id=2473
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maija avatar
maija 6 Jun

Always nice to have Marc in our webinars. See you all at 12:00 GMT! :)

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Video: "Is China's Growth Engine Slowing Down?"

Hi dear community members!Now as you may know yesterday we had a great webinar discussing China and whether its growth engine is losing steam. In case you missed the webinar and were not able to join, then do not worry as we have recorded the discussion and you can find the link below! So click, view, like and share with anyone who might be interested
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Is China's Growth Engine Slowing Down?

China has been experiencing significant growth during the past 30 years. But is its growth engine finally losing steam? We have invited Emeritus Prof. Jonathan Story from one of the world’s top universities INSEAD to a LIVE webinar on Monday 3 June at 12:00 GMT to help us understand what lies ahead for China.So now you have the opportunity to participate in the discussion and ask questions that interest you the most!For more information simply visit the following link: http://www.dukascopy.com/t…
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MakVika avatar
MakVika 31 May

looking forward to the webinar :)

SpecialFX avatar

I hope we can talk about the tradability of China's currency (yuan), that's something I'd like to trade in the future once most of the current controls and restrictions are removed :) Some brokers already already offer it, but it's not really tradable for now.

Gita avatar
Gita 31 May

I am sure we can, just be sure to take part and tune in! :)

SpecialFX avatar

I'll surely try to watch it, the last time Prof. Jonathan Story was supposed to do a webinar I got there very late, but fortunately the webinar had been cancelled so I didn't miss anything :)

Gita avatar
Gita 3 Jun

Today is the day of the webinar guys! Be sure to tune in at 12:00 GMT today to listen what Emeritus Prof. Jonathan Story has to say about China's growth!

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