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タグ・フィルター:  Bullish Bias
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USDJPY SETUP

Analytic Method: Candle patterns
Weekly/Monthly Analysis
US economic conditions:
• Interest rates have been increased with speculations of further increase.
• Healthy economic outlook
• No more quantitative easing
• Good employment data
Japan economic conditions:
• Slow wage growth
• Unemployment rate at multi-year lows
• Weakened yen has helped exports
• No concrete plans or statements from the BOJ about next economic policy
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GBPusd setup

Analytic Method: Candle patterns
Weekly/Monthly Analysis
US economic conditions:
• Interest rates have been increased with speculations of further increase.
• Healthy economic outlook
• No more quantitative easing
• Good employment data
British economic conditions:
• Still recovering from Brexit, with snap elections in June
• UK economy is still struggling
• Monetary policy still uncertain, Bank of England holding interest rates steady
• Pound under pressure on market charts, both long-term and …
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USDSEK SETUP

Analytic Method: Candle patterns
Weekly/Monthly Analysis
US economic conditions:
• Interest rates have been increased with speculations of further increase.
• Healthy economic outlook
• No more quantitative easing
• Good employment data
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GBPCAD SETUP

Analytic Method: Candle patterns
Weekly/Monthly Analysis
British economic conditions:
• Still recovering from Brexit, with snap elections in June
• UK economy is still struggling
• Monetary policy still uncertain, Bank of England holding interest rates steady
• Pound under pressure on market charts, both long-term and short-term view
Canadian Economic conditions:
• Strong performances by the manufacturing and mining sectors in Q4 of 2016
• Housing starts reached a four-month high in 2017
• Good…
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fr33m4n avatar
fr33m4n 2017年06月16日

The trend here is very bearish, with the UK currency losing steadily and the exchange rate dropping rapidly. The current exchange rate is 1.6918, a long way off from my call price but lets see what happens in the next two weeks or so.

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USDCAD SETUP

Analytic Method: Candle patterns
Weekly/Monthly Analysis
Canadian Economic conditions:
• Strong performances by the manufacturing and mining sectors in Q4 of 2016
• Housing starts reached a four-month high in 2017
• Good employment figures at 2017 year start
• Economic indicator point to a positive outlook
US economic conditions:
• Interest rates have been increased with speculations of further increase.
• Healthy economic outlook
• No more quantitative easing
• Good employment data
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USDNOK SETUP

Analytic Method: Candle patterns
Weekly/Monthly Analysis
US economic conditions:
• Interest rates have been increased with speculations of further increase
• Healthy economic outlook
• No more quantitative easing
• Good employment data
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EURCAD SETUP

Analytic Method: Candle patterns
Weekly/Monthly Analysis
Euro Economic conditions:
• Euro zone economy is in rebound, with elections next month
• Positive economic data coming out of the zone
• Some level of uncertainty with member states
• The currency is exposed to instability from member states
• Further Quantitative easing still a possibility
Canadian Economic conditions:
• Strong performances by the manufacturing and mining sectors in Q4 of 2016
• Housing starts reached a four-month high in…
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fr33m4n avatar
fr33m4n 2017年06月15日

This month the trend is bearish, with many weeks of good bearish price action. The current exchange rate is very close to my call price, so if the month ends like this, then no problem. But I anticipate a further drop in prices, then a retracement before the month (June) ends. After June, then up we should go, right now it is hard to see that far.

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GBPNZD SETUP

Analytic Method: Candle patterns
Weekly/Monthly Analysis
British economic conditions:
• Still recovering from Brexit, with snap elections in June
• UK economy is still struggling
• Monetary policy still uncertain, Bank of England holding interest rates steady
• Pound under pressure on market charts, both long-term and short-term view
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fr33m4n avatar
fr33m4n 2017年06月15日

The trend has turned quickly very bearish and is right now below where I want it by the end of the contest month. Any kind of pullback or retracement work do the trick, after losing much ground, the UK currency is starting to come back from the recent low. I will need a good pullback or a trend change to validate my analysis.

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EURAUD SETUP

Analytic Method: Candle patterns
Weekly/Monthly Analysis
Euro Economic conditions:
• Euro zone economy is in rebound, with elections next month
• Positive economic data coming out of the zone
• Some level of uncertainty with member states
• The currency is exposed to instability from member states
• Further Quantitative easing still a possibility
Australian Dollar economic conditions:
• 2016 Q4 recovery from economic contraction in 2016 Q3
• High retails sales in Q4 of 2016
• High exports in Q4…
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fr33m4n avatar
fr33m4n 2017年06月15日

The current trend is very bearish and has been this way for many weeks. The exchange rate is still over a hundred points away for where I expect, but there is still time. But this is dependent on the bearish price action continuing. There will be some retracement at some point, for my analysis to hold water the retracement has to get all the way to 1.4900 handle, which is around a 50% retracement..

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NZDJPY SETUP

Analytic Method: Candle patterns
Weekly/Monthly Analysis
Japan economic conditions:
• Slow wage growth
• Unemployment rate at multi-year lows
• Weakened yen has helped exports
• No concrete plans or statements from the BOJ about next economic policy
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fr33m4n avatar
fr33m4n 2017年06月15日

The current exchange rate is about 50 points about where I want the market to be at contest close, current trend is bullish, with weeks of bullish price action. What I expect at some point is a quick pullback or retracement back to 92.50 handle, which would be good enough. After the drop, then a good climb to the 81 handle, this is a big expectation but not impossible.

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