FXコミュニティのブログ

タグ・フィルター:  Average True Range
Avatar

More Losses for the USD/JPY

The USD/JPY had a remarkable run since the second half of 2016. We saw the pair rally by almost 2,000 pips from the lows to hit 118.65. But in the past few months the gains have stalled and recently the trendline underpinning the move higher has been broken, as you can see on the weekly chart below.
We’re already down by almost 700 pips right now but bodies in motion tend to stay in motion. And currencies in a downtrend tend to continue in that direction. I’m targeting more of the same during A…
全て読む
翻訳する: 英語 オリジナルを表示
もしくはコメントを残す
Avatar

Cable to Rally Post-Brexit

I expect Cable to rally in the aftermath of the start of Brexit negotiations. First reason for this is the fact that the worst is now behind the UK. Markets have pummelled the Pound in the ground already discounted a lot of negative scenarios. Thus a positive surprise could led to large GBP rally.
The second reason is our first chart above. Notice the three bottoms pattern. Some may see an irregular Head and Shoulders formation. In any case it looks like the bears have checked out and the bulls…
全て読む
翻訳する: 英語 オリジナルを表示
もしくはコメントを残す
Avatar

Aussie Back on the Offensive

The Australian Dollar is back on the offensive. This month we got yet another test of the important resistance in the 0.7700 – 0.7800 area. Prices peaked at 0.7749 this time around before pulling back.
However the move lower wasn’t Aussie specific but happened on general risk aversion across all markets. This gives me reason to think that the next time prices rally toward the resistance we could get a breakout above.
Our final chart above shows this resistance area. You can see that it’s been …
全て読む
翻訳する: 英語 オリジナルを表示
もしくはコメントを残す
Avatar

Kiwi in Bullish Trend

The Kiwi has entered a bullish trend. On our first chart below we see that the 25 day (in blue) and 50 day (in red) exponential moving averages are trending higher, with the 25 above the 50 EMA. This indicates that a bullish trend has commenced in this currency pair.
But just how far can this rally go? The 20 month Average True Range is currently at 370 pips. But of course this is the high to low range, not the open to close range we need to estimate a target.
I’ll be placing my forecast just be…
全て読む
翻訳する: 英語 オリジナルを表示
もしくはコメントを残す
Avatar

Aussie Going Back to 0.7500

The Aussie is nearing oversold levels. On the daily chart below we can see that the pair dipped below the 20 level in the Stoch (8,3,3) and is now moving higher. This confirms a bullish signal for this pair.
A similar situation can be seen on the hourly chart below, although here the bullish scenario has been underway for several bars now. Notice how the pair rallied shortly after the dip below 20 and the move back above it.
Now let’s talk about the target. We’re currently quoted at 0.7222. Wi…
全て読む
翻訳する: 英語 オリジナルを表示
Elens94 avatar
Elens94 2017年01月01日

great!

もしくはコメントを残す
Avatar

USD/JPY to Head Toward 111.00

I expect the USD/JPY to retrace a significant portion of its gains. The rally in the pair is reaching unsustainable levels. We’re now up by over 1,500 pips from the November lows. But as can be seen on the chart below, things could be changing. The trendline underpinning this move on the daily charts has been broken.
Our second chart below shows the situation on the lower timeframe charts. Here we see that the momentum has turned to the downside. We have a consensus between these two timeframes…
全て読む
翻訳する: 英語 オリジナルを表示
もしくはコメントを残す
Avatar

Kiwi Could be Bottoming Out

The New Zealand Dollar could be bottoming out. First let’s take a look at the daily chart. Here we see that the Stochastic Oscillator dipped below the 20 oversold level three bars ago. We’re now rallying from these lows and we closed back above 20, indicating a bullish condition.
Our second chart below shows that the momentum during the past few days has been strongly up, with little to no retracement. This confirms what the longer-term charts are saying.
I’ll be placing my target just below t…
全て読む
翻訳する: 英語 オリジナルを表示
もしくはコメントを残す
Avatar

Cable Back in Oversold Territory

Cable is back in oversold territory. Let’s take a look at tour first chart below. Notice how on the daily chart the Stoch (5,3,3) dipped below the 20 figure. This is considered oversold in technical analysis. The climb back above the level confirms the ‘buy’ signal.
Our second chart below shows a similar oversold pattern but one that has run its course further then on the daily chart. Here the dip and climb back above the 20 level happened few bars ago.
I’m targeting 1.2781. This is right belo…
全て読む
翻訳する: 英語 オリジナルを表示
もしくはコメントを残す
Avatar

Aussie to Make a Break for 0.8000

It’s been a good year for the Australian Dollar. The pair is up by 200 pips this year. This may not look like much but keep in mind that these gains were made in the context of general Dollar strength. Our first chart bellows shows the tentative but clear uptrend in 2016.
On our next chart we can see the same momentum higher but on a lower timeframe chart. While other pairs continue to suffer after Trump’s election win, the AUD/USD is heading higher. With both the long-term trend and the short-…
全て読む
翻訳する: 英語 オリジナルを表示
TInna avatar
TInna 2016年12月01日

good

もしくはコメントを残す
Avatar

Pound to Head Toward 1.3000

It’s been a rough two-and-half years for the Pound. The pair lost over 5,000 pips from its highs back in July 2014. But even during the middle of that carnage we had some ‘dead cat’ bounces. On our first chart below notice how we get these small rallies whenever the Stochastic Oscillator dips below 20 and then recovers and heads higher.
With hindsight these small uptrends may not seem like much on first glance, keep in mind that this is a monthly chart. The duration of one TA contest cycle enco…
全て読む
翻訳する: 英語 オリジナルを表示
Elens94 avatar
Elens94 2016年12月01日

Excellent stuff !

TInna avatar
TInna 2016年12月01日

well done!

もしくはコメントを残す
もっと