evilspeculator's Blog

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Getting Paid On Thursday


Equities have dropped a little lower overnight and we're now testing the 100-hour SMA. If I wasn't long already in my ongoing campaign I would be here with a stop below ~1958. If supports fails then the next probable scenario is a visit of the lower 100-hour BB which coincides with NLSL at 1944.5.
Here's another view at the scenario on the hourly panel - the onus is now on the bulls to keep up the pace or we run the risk of a little correction.
Platinum was one of our short setups from last nig…
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Watch Your Six

It'll be a short week as many vacation deprived worker bees over in the U.S. are busy preparing for an extended 4th of July weekend. So expect low participation on the market front starting Wednesday and turning into a flatline on Thursday. Which unfortunately works against us this week as this is probably just the quiet before the storm. Since I was gone Friday I'll start this off with a wrap up of where we are followed by a few pointers on how to get positioned and of course some short term se…
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Time To Strike The Iron

We are at an important inflection point this morning and it's time to strike the iron as it's hot hot hot! I'm running a bit late today so I only have time to report on equities - but it's a very good one, so pay attention:
This is what's working in our favor right now - the GBP/JPY is still looking divergent or at least unsupportive. Could change quickly but there are no guarantees in the trading game. So let's look at the price action on the futures side:
This is a textbook RTV-S configuration…
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Don't Buy The Rumor - Sell The News

I'm sure you've heard by now- the U.S. economy is experiencing major shrinkage. The decline in Q1 real GDP was the largest since Q1 2009 (-5.4%) when the economy was in recession. According to Joseph A. LaVorgna at Deutsche Bank: 'when the economy shrinks as much as it did in Q1, the economy is either in recession or about to enter one.' Gold and bonds just popped and equities are still clinging to yesterday's lows.
This is now officially yesterday's news. So don't get caught up in all the excit…
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Volatility Cycles

Some of you eager beavers have to start wrapping your mind around the concept of markets moving in volatility cycles. Just like it is a common observation in natural systems (i.e. water, sound, electromagnetic) imagine a sinusoid wave that oscillates in repeating cycles. A few days ago I wrote an indicator that visualizes the idea very nicely - I call it ATRIP as it's a hacked version of average true range:
What is important to understand is that these cycles are a natural aspect of all basic ma…
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VictoriaVika avatar

Good analysis :)

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