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タグ・フィルター:  Fundamentals
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EURUsd opens higher Monday

The Euro seems a bit stronger at market open this week
EurUsd is up at market open after the Italian elections today predict a hung parliament
This is what was expected, and the Euro is up on the news
because the alternative would have been a government willing to oppose the Eur coin
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Shorting the Euro for now

I am short EurUsd since yesterday
I went short before market close because of something that I read
in a forex community post
Traders are positioned long Euro while there are important decisions next week
concerning the future of the Euro in Europe
There is a referendum in Italy, and important talks in Germany
If all goes well, not much happens - but if something goes wrong,
like Italy kicking out the Euro currency and bringing back in the Lira
then all hell will break loose - looks like an oppo…
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Opening long USD positions again today

I have opened a few new positions long Usd today
The bounce above 1.10 on Friday was very interesting to me
Technically, 1.10 holding is good news for UsdJpy
I sense a recovery coming - maybe some more strong data ahead
Fundamentally that makes the dollar potentially changing direction again
There could be a lot of pips to be made
I am long UsdNok, UsdSek, UsdMxn and UsdJpy
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Short AUD this month

I will be shorting Aud this month
Fundamentals tell me the AudUsd has risen too much too fast
I see possibilities in shorting AudCad, too
It is trapped below the SMA daily 200
I expect AudUsd to return or retrace to 0.97 level
I will trade it and other Aud crosses accordingly
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Major economics news ahead for the week

The major upcoming economic events are NFP numbers as well as FOMC. It will set the tone of USD bias for the next 2 weeks.
Major economic news with high impact:
Monday July 3,
12.45 CHF Retail Sales (YOY)
19.30 USD ISM Manufacturing PMI
19.30 USD ISM Price Paid
Tuesday July 4
10.00 AUD RBA Interest Rate Decision
10.00 AUD RBA Rate Statement
15.30 GBP Inflation Report Hearing
Wednesday July 5
12.30 EUR Non Monetary Policy's ECB Hearing
12.45 EUR Markit Services PMI
23.30 USD FOMC Minutes
Thursday…
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This weeks economic data preview!

Some of the economic events that will have high impact this week are as follows:
Monday 26, 2017
18.00 USD Durable Goods Orders ex transportation
18.00 USD Durable Goods Orders ex transportation
Tuesday 27, 2017
15.30 GBP Inflation report hearing
Thursday 29, 2017
18.00 USD Gross Domestic Product Annualised
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Short GBP at beginning of this month

I am short Gbp to begin the month of trading
I have opened short positions in GbpNzd and GbpAud today at market open
GbpUsd is nearing 1.30 - where I expect resistance
Fundamentally, brexit is still a problem in UK
and recent move up in Gbp will find little ground for a continued move up soon
Technically, I see retracement starting in Gbp crosses
and I will be waiting for more weakness in Gbp
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Week Ahead – Inflation and Japan GDP in focus

Inflation will be the most watched data next week as China, the UK and the US report their monthly CPI figures. Japanese GDP numbers will also be important as Japan’s economy continues to show increasing signs of strength, while the Riksbank’s latest monetary policy meeting will likely attract attention too. However, the week’s highlight could come from Fed Chair Yellen’s testimony in Congress, which will be the first since Trump took office.
Japan to post fourth straight quarter of growth

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USD my focus this coming month

In this month's contest I will focus on USD
UsdJpy has held its ground above 100,
and as the BOJ threathens to intervene below 100, traders are long for now
Technical analysis still points down on this pair, though
and a channel down is still intact unless UsdJpy breaks above 102
I will be looking to buy just above 100 and above 102 this month
gl all
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Dolar Indeks - Continuation of Short positions

Hi All.
Om my last Pot I have show You my prediction of Dolar Indeks what exactly was happen Today. Dolar Index dropped to level of 95,4 close to expected area.
We can see now some retreicement and ,,Air" for scalpers but from 4h chart perspective I think we should continue to drop.
For EUR/USD means Bullish during next week in my oppinion
Good Luck to All
Mariusz
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