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Expectations for Friday the 4th of March

Pair Expectation, target value – maximum or minimum for the day
AUDUSD down, target: 0.7180
EURUSD down, target: 1.0810
USDCAD down, target: 1.3350
GBPUSD down, target: 1.3990
USDJPY down, target: 111.50
USDNOK down, target: 8.380
NFP data for the US economy is due for release this coming Friday. The numbers might induce significant volatility across the markets, especially if the data print is an outlier – either to higher or lower end. Considering that ISM had been rather dismal recentl…
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Expectations for Thursday the 3rd of March

Pair Expectation, target value – maximum or minimum for the day
AUDUSD down, target: 0.7200
EURUSD down, target: 1.0810
USDCAD down, target: 1.3310
GBPUSD down, target: 1.3950
USDJPY down, target: 111.50
USDNOK down, target: 8.580
GDP data for Australia came out better than expected, despite relative weakness of commodity prices and AUD. These numbers might set the long-term trend for AUD – apparently nothing prevents interest rate hike and it seems that any increase in inflation might in…
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Expectations for Wednesday the 2nd of March

Pair Expectation, target value – maximum or minimum for the day
AUDUSD down, target: 0.7130
EURUSD down, target: 1.0810
USDCAD down, target: 1.3350
GBPUSD down, target: 1.3850
USDJPY down, target: 113.10
USDNOK up, target: 8.700
GDP data for Australia is due for report this coming Wednesday. The data might set the trend for medium-term dynamics of AUD. As RBA held the interest rates unchanged earlier this Tuesday, the risks of downside moves seem to be rather high. The market dynamics for…
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Expectations for Friday the 26th of February

Pair Expectation, target value – maximum or minimum for the day
AUDUSD up, target: 0.7310
EURUSD up, target: 1.1120
USDCAD down, target: 1.3400
GBPUSD down, target: 1.3850
USDJPY down, target: 111.50
USDNOK down, target: 8.300
A few important macroeconomic data are due for release this coming Friday. CPI data for Germany might induce significant volatility, provided that inflationary risks become pronounced – EUR might go up on lowering expectations of new QE program. High CPI numbers mig…
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Expectations for Thursday the 25th of February

Pair Expectation, target value – maximum or minimum for the day
AUDUSD up, target: 0.7350
EURUSD up, target: 1.1100
USDCAD down, target: 1.3500
GBPUSD down, target: 1.3800
USDJPY down, target: 110.00
USDNOK down, target: 8.300
CPI for Euro-Zone is due for release this coming Thursday. Considering that inflationary wave is manifesting itself in the US economy, it is rather difficult to imagine that CPI data for Euro-Zone will remain subdued. Provided this will be the case, EUR might run on…
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Expectations for Wednesday the 24th of February

Pair Expectation, target value – maximum or minimum for the day
AUDUSD up, target: 0.7300
EURUSD up, target: 1.1060
USDCAD down, target: 1.3500
GBPUSD up, target: 1.4170
USDJPY down, target: 111.00
USDNOK down, target: 8.300
No important macroeconomic data is due this coming Wednesday. The world stock markets might continue its fall. Provided this scenario plays out, the safe-heaven currencies – CHF and JPY – might rise. It seems that the corrective down-side move for NZD and AUD is over …
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Expectations for Tuesday the 23rd of February

Pair Expectation, target value – maximum or minimum for the day
AUDUSD up, target: 0.7310
EURUSD down, target: 1.0930
USDCAD down, target: 1.3400
GBPUSD down, target: 1.4200
USDJPY down, target: 111.80
USDNOK down, target: 8.300
Consumer Confidence Index for the US economy is due for release this coming Tuesday. The data might lead to high volatility in the stock market. Provided that the numbers are weaker than expected, the stock market might go up on anticipations of new round of QE pr…
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Expectations for Monday the 22nd of February

Pair Expectation, target value – maximum or minimum for the day
AUDUSD up, target: 0.7230
EURUSD down, target: 1.0970
USDCAD down, target: 1.3550
GBPUSD down, target: 1.4200
USDJPY down, target: 110.80
USDNOK down, target: 8.390
No important macroeconomic data releases are due this coming Monday. The market dynamics could be determined by stock market moves. It seems that the stock markets might plummet further, since CPI data in the US hint at another step in monetary tightening. Provide…
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Expectations for the forthcoming week

Pair Expectation, target value – maximum or minimum for the week
AUDUSD up, target: 0.7410
EURUSD down, target: 1.0800
USDCAD down, target: 1.3530
GBPUSD down, target: 1.4200
USDJPY down, target: 109.80
USDNOK down, target: 8.380
The most important data for the week to come is revised GDP numbers for the US economy. Albeit the initial estimation printed higher than expected numbers, the data might surprise the markets and induce a round of sell-off in stocks and bonds. This case is possib…
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Inflation, Stock Market, US Dollar and Precious Metals

Inflation risks have always been a point of concern for investors. For the last few years though inflationary risks have been given a new spin by financial mass-media. Low inflation in consumer prices has been portrayed as a sign of weak economy, while high inflation has been rendered as an indispensable condition of stable economic growth.
So far as CPI data was printing the numbers below “officially healthy” level, the pretext of having near-to-zero interest rates was rock-solid – in the envi…
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