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Trade habits

yesterday it was the day for big profits or losses. as usually, traders are not prepared for extended runs. the market outbursts suddenly after a sleep and traders do not believe the run will continue. once again, the conclusions after yesterday which reconfirm a common knowledge: let your profits run, cut losses, never trade against momentum. and one more - do not experiment with pairs you do not understand.
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$GOLD / $XAUUSD swing trader

$GOLD / $XAUUSD swing trader
  • Plot based on 8 years of data .
  • Type: High leverage swing trader; long and short (CFD, futures)
  • Frequency: 3 trades per month (avg)
  • Win chance: 37.3%
  • Profit factor: 3.2872
  • Spreads: 0.6 (yes, quite wide; your broker might be better!)
  • Position size: 9.35% of equity (half kelly%)
What do you think? I will add more info and stats here soon.
QuantAtaraxia
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Today's trades

the ema are 20 and 200, supported by the DMI cross-over...
it is good for all to align...increase chances of success.
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Convallium avatar
Convallium 17 11月

Thank you for this blog post! I see the indicators I hope I will learn how they work!

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Coin Flip Theory and Trading

What is a coin flip theory? When You flip a coin You know that there is only two possibilities - heads or tails. You have 50% chance that You will get it right. When You flip the coin 100 times You should get the same ratio or very close to that. You still know that you have 50% chance of being right. What You don't know is the sequence of the results. It won't be necessarily one time heads and one time tails. This is the important part of this theory that can be paralleled to trading. It is e…
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Elani avatar
Elani 14 4月

Historically, the most successful stock traders have used probability as a strategy-building essential for picking the best stocks.

Armands avatar
Armands 14 4月

Yes, You have to consider probabilities in terms of percentage in order to gain edge over the market.

OneGoodTrade avatar

No, you weren't wrong.

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Fibonacci Fan Lines Trading System

Dear Community Members,
I have published last week my new article based on the Fan Lines Trading System .

http://www.dukascopy.com/fxcomm/fx-article-contest/?Fibonacci-Fan-Lines-Trading-System&action=read&id=1580
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