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BULLISH REGIME

Durden Posted 30 May as Analysis on NZD/USD, Target: 0.72296, Date: 2nd of July, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #NZD/USD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: Volatility, Volume, Hidden Markov Model (HMM) , MA, RSI, Standard Dev (SD)
The traders interested in statistical trading (HMM in this study) could find some indications studying the Hidden Markov Models in Finance book, author Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott.
Weekly VISION
No precise direction with the HMM computation. The Volume and SD give indication of a no regime technical analysis.
Graphically there is not a great indication of the hidden regime and it is not …
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2 Comments
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Durden 7 June

La chart analisi sembrano far convergere un criterio  di tipo mercato in sell.
Lo studio dei processi Markoviani consentono di valutare dinamiche di tipo slightly bearish.  In H1 chart è possible valutare uno studio sulla  convergenza della SD a livelli di  12.00 questo unito a un valore di RSI di 81.00 in 5 min chart può essere considerato un possible inizio per un regime di sell. 

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Durden 28 June

La coppia con interpretazione marginalmente bearish, consentirebbe almento in linea teorica posizioni bearish su eventuali rtitracciamenti della media 20 su tf di 5 Min. HMM coerenti con un regime di tipologia sell

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NO REGIME

Durden Posted 30 Apr. as Analysis on NZD/USD, Target: 0.70092, Date: 1st of June, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #NZD/USD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: MA, RSI, Standard Dev (SD), Volatility, Volume, Hidden Markov Model (HMM)
The traders interested in statistical trading (HMM in this study) can find some suggestions reading the book Hidden Markov Models in Finance, Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott.
Weekly VISION
No categorical orientation with the HMM evaluation. The SD and Volume give expression of a no regime technical analysis.
Chart analysis also not evaluate an appreciation or depreciation of the pair market v…
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Durden 19 May

Graficamente si potrebbe anche presupporre una dinamica laterale, ma lo studio dei modelli HMM  sembrano suggerire una valorizzazione del regime in Sell tf 30 Min. Volumi coerenti con inclinazioni marginali sulle dinamiche dei prezzi.

Durden avatar
Durden 23 May

Una valutazione grafica e statistica  potrebbe suggerire un possible sviluppo rialzista.
Se si dovessero poi avere dei valori di rientro da RSI in ipervenduto intorno a 12,00 in 30 Min, si potrebbe anche provare una trade in buy

Durden avatar
Durden 25 May

Sviluppo di regimi sell elaborando il trading statistico HMM.
A livello di possibili uscite basate sulla STDEV si può valutare per il TF10 Min delle 13:01:56 un coefficiente pari a  1.14 STDEV.

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Durden 30 May

Mercato abbastanza indeciso con una predominanza alla lateralizzazione e possibili indicazioni per un Buy marginale.
Possibilità per una entry  di tipologia buy  con uscita su una distanza di circa 1.13  della  STDEV.

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Durden 1 June

No regime, possibilità di un rientro in sell sulla chiusura di candela in H1.  HMM e RSI sembrano suggerire una fase trendless. 

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NO REGIME DYNAMICS

Durden Posted 31 Mar. as Analysis on NZD/USD, Target: 0.71523, Date: 1st of May, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #NZD/USD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: MA, RSI, Standard Dev (SD), Volatility, Volume, Hidden Markov Model (HMM)
The traders fascinated in statistical trading (HMM in this study) could find some indications reading the book Hidden Markov Models in Finance, Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott.
Weekly VISION
No pronounced tendency with the statistic evaluation . The Volume and SD give indication of a no regime technical analysis.
Chart analysis also not investigate an appreciation or depreciation of the pair …
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5 Comments
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Durden 4 Apr.

La chart analisi possono considerarsi  di tipo buy.
Lo studio dei modelli Hidden Markov consentono di valutare dinamiche di tipo slightly bullish.  In H4 chart è possible valutare uno studio sulla  convergenza della SD a livelli di  11.00 questo unito a un valore di RSI di 82.00 in 5 min chart può essere considerato un possible inizio per un regime di buy. 

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Durden 11 Apr.

I grafici  esprimono una dinamica di tipo bearish. Le analisi  HMM consentono di formulare  una possibilità di Sell.

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Durden 18 Apr.

Suggerimenti bullish con lo studio dei dei risultati hidden.  Dal punto di vista grafico invece potrebbero denotare delle tendenze laterali. In generale se si dovesse entrare intorno alle 12:56:32 si potrebbe suggerire di uscire ad una distanza di 2.00 STDEV.

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Durden 19 Apr.

La valutazione delle inclinazioni delle MA 8, 15, 89 caratterizzanti i regimi statistici della coppia attualmente  15:03  nei TF H1 suggeriscono dei regimi di bearish.
Le analisi sui volumi possono affermare  al regime di Sell o laterale.

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Durden 30 Apr.

Analisi grafiche e statistiche  potrebbe suggerire un possible sviluppo rialzista.
Se si dovessero poi avere dei valori di rientro da RSI in ipervenduto intorno a 6.00 in 30 Min, si potrebbe anche pensare ad una possible entry in buy

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NO REGIME

Durden Posted 22 Feb. as Analysis on NZD/USD, Target: 0.72877, Date: 2nd of April, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #NZD/USD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: Hidden Markov Model (HMM) , Standard Dev (SD), RSI, MA, Volatility, Volume
The traders involved in statistical trading (HMM in this study) could find some suggestions studying the Hidden Markov Models in Finance book, author Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott.
Weekly VISION
Chart investigation does not give a great indication and it is not so easy test specific zones of Support and Resistance.
The RSI inclination, the MA(20) and the MA(89) slope give instead support f…
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Durden 28 Mar.

Mercato abbastanza indeciso con una predominanza alla lateralizzazione e possibili indicazioni per un Buy marginale.
Possibilità per una trade  di tipologia buy  con uscita su una distanza di circa 1.33  della  STDEV.

Durden avatar
Durden 30 Mar.

I grafici  alle 18:30 possono considerarsi  del tipo sell. La statistica markoviana di tipo hidden consentono di valutare dinamiche di tipo slightly bearish. In H8 chart è possible valutare un modello sulla convergenza della Standard Dev. su livelli di
19.00 questo insieme a  un valore di RSI di 85.00 in 5 min chart può essere considerato un possible inizio per un regime bearish.

Durden avatar
Durden 31 Mar.

MACD e STDEV insieme insieme allo studio dei processi markoviani sembrano suggerire una dinamica bullish


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Durden 1 Apr.

Lo studio grafico non sembra coerente con le analisi probabilistiche di HMM.
I calcoli riferenti alle chiusure di  01 April 2018 22:15 in 30 Min propendono per una direzionalità leggermente ribassista ma i grafici possono suggerire un regime  di tipo rialzista.
 

Durden avatar
Durden 2 Apr.


Gli studi Markoviani degli andamenti dei prezzi in chiusura di candela H4 concedono un leggera predominanza alla domanda.
Gli indicatori a supporto sono Trix e Volume.
Integrando HMM e indicatori può essere modellizzato un valore probabilistico di avere circa un 55% di probabilità di ottenere una dinamica bullish a partire dalle  02 April 2018 09:30.

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BERISH REGIME

Durden Posted 18 Jan. as Analysis on NZD/USD, Target: 0.72598, Date: 1st of March, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #NZD/USD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: RSI, MA, Standard Dev (SD), Volatility, Volume, Hidden Markov Model (HMM)
The involved statistical traders could study the HMM considering the Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott book (Hidden Markov Models in Finance book).
Weekly VISION
No distinguish tendency with the HMM computation. The Volume and SD give indication of a no regime dynamics.
Graphically there is not a great indication of the hidden regime and it is not so easy figure out
specific zones of Support an…
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Durden 26 Feb.

La valutazione delle inclinazioni delle MA 29, 89, 200
caratterizzanti i regimi statistici della coppia attualmente 19:10  nei TF 5 Min
suggeriscono dei regimi di sell.
Le analisi sui volumi non sembrano contrapporsi
al regime di Sell o laterale.

Durden avatar
Durden 27 Feb.

I grafici  denotano una  dinamica  bearish. Le analisi Markoviane sembrano invece propendere per una fase di lateralizzazione.

Durden avatar
Durden 28 Feb.

Le analisi grafiche dei prezzi  alle 21:15 sostengono    di tipologia mercato in sell. Lo studio dei modelli Hidden Markov consentono di valutare dinamiche di tipo slightly bearish. In H8 chart è possible valutare uno studio sulla convergenza della SD a livelli di
14.00 questo unito a un valore di RSI di 88.00 in 5 min chart può essere considerato un possible inizio per un regime di sell.

Durden avatar
Durden 1 Mar.

Suggerimenti bearish con lo studio dei processi hidden.
I grafici invece potrebbero suggerire  delle possibili lateralizzazioni.
In generale se si dovesse entrare su livelli di ipercomprato di RSI intorno alle 09:30:00  si potrebbe suggerire di uscire ad una distanza di 2.00 STDEV.

foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 1 Mar.

Con una piccola ritracciata rialzista ;)

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NO REGIME

Durden Posted 28 June as Analysis on NZD/USD, Target: 0.71791, Date: 1st of August, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #NZD/USD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
Key price levels : 0.71791
Weekly Charts pattern : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.
Weekly Vision
The pair NZD/USD is moving in a bearish dynamics with a resistance line at 0.71801. The chart analysis integrated with the Hidden Markov Models Analysis, the RSI indicator support the trend. The RSI and the Standard dev also support the trend. The US GDP can facilitate the NZD bearish regime.
Daily Vision
The D1 scale indicates that the patttern is in …
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JuliannaS 30 June

What is Key price levels

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BEARISH REGIME

Durden Posted 25 May as Analysis on NZD/USD, Target: 0.69058 , Date: 3rd of July, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #NZD/USD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
Key price levels : 0.68187 0.70981 0.71801
Weekly Charts pattern : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.
Weekly Vision
The pair NZD/USD is moving in a bearish dynamics with a resistance line at 0.71801. The chart analysis integrated with the Hidden Markov Models Analysis, the RSI indicator support the trend. The RSI and the Standard dev also support the trend. The US GDP can facilitate the NZD bearish regime.
Daily Vision
The D1 scale indicates that the…
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Durden 15 June

Hidden Markov Models and RSI coherently bearish with a USD retracement.

foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 27 June

Great technical analysis

Durden avatar
Durden 27 June

The Hidden Markov Model analysis integrated with the RSI analysis seems to suggest the possibility of  a bullish dynamics.

Durden avatar
Durden 28 June

BUY regime with Hidden Markov Processes.
RSI not coherent with chart analysis bullish.

Durden avatar
Durden 30 June

The study of the chart integrated with the RSI suggest a bearish retracement.
The HMM analysis is also for the slightly bearish.

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BULLISH DYNAMICS

Durden Posted 30 Apr. as Analysis on NZD/USD, Target: 0.70987, Date: 1st of June, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #NZD #USD #NZD/USD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

Key price levels : 0.68183 0.70987 0.71807

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

The pair NZD/USD is moving in a bullish channel dynamics with a resistance line at 0.71807. The chart analysis integrated with the Hidden Markov Models Analysis, the RSI indicator support the trend. The RSI and the Standard dev also support the trend.
The US GDP can facilitate the NZD bullish regime.

Daily Vision…
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4 Comments
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Durden 30 Apr.

The pair is in a slightly bullish regime and the HMM integrated with the RSI study support the dynamics

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Durden 2 May

The HMM pair analysis suggest the slightly bearish regime for the US session

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Durden 11 May

Slightly bearish  regime for the HMM analysis

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Durden 17 May

The chart analysis and the hidden markov model support the no bias
regime.
The dynamics of  USA economy can lead to a slightly bullish  regime, the monetary policy and the oil analysis also can give support to this study

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TRENDLESS AREA

Durden Posted 29 Feb. as Analysis on NZD/USD, Target: 0.6777, Date: 1st of April, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #NZD #USD #NZD/USD #Kiwi #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

Key price levels : 0.62289 0.6777 0.68777

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

The pair NZD/USD is moving in a trendless area dynamics with a support line at 0.62289 . The chart analysis integrated with the Hidden Markov Models Analysis, the RSI indicator support the regime. The RSI and the Standard dev also support the trend.
The Brent Oil forecast can facilitate the NZD bearish regime.

Daily …
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3 Comments
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Durden 2 Mar.

The kiwi  chart analysis is coherent with a slightly bearish regime.
The HM  indicator and the RSI are coherent with a bearish regime.
The support line at 0.6582 can suggest a retracement.

Durden avatar
Durden 9 Mar.

HMM and RSI are coherent with a no bias regime, the chart analysis and the US economic release support the slightly bearish dynamics.

Durden avatar
Durden 23 Mar.

The Hidden Markov indicator and the chart analysis are coherent with a bearish regime.  0.690022
as possible resistance zone.

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BULLISH REGIME

Durden Posted 31 Jan. as Analysis on NZD/USD, Target: 0.66098, Date: 1st of March, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #NZD/USD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes

Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

Key price levels : 0.66098 0.66822 0.68302

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

The pair NZD/USD is moving in a bullish channel dynamics with a resistance line at 0.68302. The chart analysis integrated with the Hidden Markov Models Analysis, the RSI indicator support the trend. The RSI and the Standard dev also support the trend.
The US GDP can facilitate the NZD bullish regime.

Daily Vision…
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5 Comments
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Durden 31 Jan.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a bullish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly selling market side forecast. The NZD/USD can have a buying domination at the Asian session opening.

Durden avatar
Durden 31 Jan.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a bullish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  buying  market side forecast. The pair  NZDUSD  can have a  buying domination  at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 5 Feb.

Considering the ADP at 205 k it can be possible an improvement for the NFP release forecast. Bearish forecast for the NZD/USD

Durden avatar
Durden 23 Feb.

The chart analysis, the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  sellers market side forecast. 
HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a  bearish regime.  The chart analysis and the Standard dev analysis are coherent with a kiwi bearish market.

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Durden 1 Mar.

The NZD/USD chart analysis is coherent with the technical analysis.
The hidden Markov studies integrated with the RSI supported the forecast dynamics.
The kiwi  pair level price and the forecast show a great accuracy.

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