Identifying Highs & Lows is essential part of my trading. It saves me from being on wrong side of market majority of times. Lot of traders get stuck into conventional way of drawing highs & lows, but fail to understand its not about perfection, its about understanding market pulse by taking guidance from past swings, concentrating on current price action and predicting probability of next market move.
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USD/JPY closing the year near the highs
Monthly chart:
Price is trending up towards strong resistance zone:
1. Trendline that contained the long-term downtrend in years 1986, 1990, 1998.
2. 23.6% retracement of November 1982 to October 2011 decline.
3. 2007 high at 124.14.
On the downside, the first major support is 200 month SMA at 106 and then 105 level.
Weekly chart:
As price is getting closer to 120 level, the momentum is somewhat weakening. The previous week's range bar clearly demonstrated indecision, but that was likely just a…
Price is trending up towards strong resistance zone:
1. Trendline that contained the long-term downtrend in years 1986, 1990, 1998.
2. 23.6% retracement of November 1982 to October 2011 decline.
3. 2007 high at 124.14.
On the downside, the first major support is 200 month SMA at 106 and then 105 level.
Weekly chart:
As price is getting closer to 120 level, the momentum is somewhat weakening. The previous week's range bar clearly demonstrated indecision, but that was likely just a…
Retreat from highs expected
USD/SGD is on highs last seen in the middle of 2013. Broad USD strength is seen across the board and now I think for some week rate will be in process of further direction determination. Mentioned developments could be seen in weekly USD/SGD chart below.
In my opinion during coming moth rate will fluctuate inside quite narrow range before further direction will be determined but this might happen only at the beginning of next year. For more exact possible rate developments determination daily US…
In my opinion during coming moth rate will fluctuate inside quite narrow range before further direction will be determined but this might happen only at the beginning of next year. For more exact possible rate developments determination daily US…
Priceline On the Move
Hello Traders,
I was checking out some recent earning news and this chart jumped out at me. Looks like a nice inverted head and shoulders (bullish signal) has formed and new highs for Priceline.com is looking strong. Notice the 200 SMA is pushing up the price. The only concern comes at the psychological and resistance price area of 1300. The bulls seems to be testing the 1300 area, and if that is cleared I am looking for 1400 to as a target.
Happy Trading,
Jay Trader
I was checking out some recent earning news and this chart jumped out at me. Looks like a nice inverted head and shoulders (bullish signal) has formed and new highs for Priceline.com is looking strong. Notice the 200 SMA is pushing up the price. The only concern comes at the psychological and resistance price area of 1300. The bulls seems to be testing the 1300 area, and if that is cleared I am looking for 1400 to as a target.
Happy Trading,
Jay Trader
AUD/JPY - Bearish Correction !
Charts: 4 Hours, 1 Week.
Indicators:Fibonacci Fan Lines,Support & Resistance Levels,Time Markers,MACD, EMA 200,100,50.
Current Level : 92.95
[color=#000000]AUD/JPY[/color] pair is set in a bullish channel for quite a while. We have several higher highs in place and higher lows. On the chart bellow on previos support we can see that there are some similarities between the 2 larger waves and minor waves. On the previous minor waves we can see that it has retraced from the 50.00% fibonacci retracement line and…
AUDNZD -Third Wave !
Charts: 4 Hours, 1 Week.
Indicators:Fibonacci Fan Lines,Support & Resistance Levels,Time Markers,MACD, EMA 200,100,50.
Current Level : 1.1188
AUD/NZD is in a bearish trend for quite a while now.If we look at the chart bellow we can see the pair has recently formed some bearish waves that moves within a ''range look alike pattern'' but the lower highs and lower lows tell us this is a bearish trend that we are talking about.My wiew is that another wave will occur the following month …
USD/CHF - Descending Channel !
Charts: 4 Hours, 1 Week.
Indicators:Fibonacci Fan Lines,Support & Resistance Levels,Time Markers,MACD, EMA 200,100,50.
Current Level : 0.9072
USD/CHF for some months now is in a descending channel pattern which seems to set lower highs & lower lows every month.I expect another bearish trend in month to come followed by retracement.I see a potential support zone around the (0.8800) price level from which the trend could retrace higher along the 50.00% fibonacci fan line.MACD is overbought so th…
GBP/NZD - Channel Down!
Charts: 4Hours, 1 Day.
Indicators: Fibonacii Fan Lines, Fibonacci Retracements,Support & Resistance Levels , MACD, EMA 200,100,50.
Current Level :1.9575
GBP/NZD has a mixed bias right now. If last month the pair was trending and looked like it will break higher (1.96) level and maybe a run towards (2.00 )price level this month the trend is surely bearish. Also the pair is going downward in a wide channel down pattern were it constantly made lower highes & lower lows strenghten this prediction.My…
Indicators: Fibonacii Fan Lines, Fibonacci Retracements,Support & Resistance Levels , MACD, EMA 200,100,50.
Current Level :1.9575
GBP/NZD has a mixed bias right now. If last month the pair was trending and looked like it will break higher (1.96) level and maybe a run towards (2.00 )price level this month the trend is surely bearish. Also the pair is going downward in a wide channel down pattern were it constantly made lower highes & lower lows strenghten this prediction.My…
USDCAD- Breaking Fan Lines!!
Charts: 4Hours, 1 Day.
Indicators: Fibonacci Retracements,Fibonacci Fan Lines,Support & Resistance Levels , MACD, EMA 200,100,50.
Current Level :1.0458
USDCAD started a big channel up in September last year from support ( 0.9633). The trend has been pretty strong , bouncing up and down from fan lines but always breaking higher. Recent price action as can be seen on the chart shows two similar waves that formed lower highs and higher lows ,breaking fan lines lower , which make me think looking …
GBP/CHF ASCENDING CHANNEL
Charts: 1 Day,1Week.
Indicators: ;Fibonancci Fan Lines 1D, 1W Time Frame ;Support & Resistance Levels,RSI,VOLUMEEXT
Current Level : 1.4626
GBP/CHF recent trend developments shows a potential ascending channel formation backed by recent higher lows (supports) and higher highs (resistances) as can be observed very well on the chart.Also Relative Strength Index is bullish on 1 Day TF showing that there is room for further bullish move.Volume gives us a hint showing that there is selling press…
Indicators: ;Fibonancci Fan Lines 1D, 1W Time Frame ;Support & Resistance Levels,RSI,VOLUMEEXT
Current Level : 1.4626
GBP/CHF recent trend developments shows a potential ascending channel formation backed by recent higher lows (supports) and higher highs (resistances) as can be observed very well on the chart.Also Relative Strength Index is bullish on 1 Day TF showing that there is room for further bullish move.Volume gives us a hint showing that there is selling press…