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A look at NZD/CAD

NZD/CAD has come down from the levels of 0.9750 seen in June this year to 0.9125 touched today as CAD has strengthened against almost every currency in anticipation of Bank of Canada raising interest rates from record low levels. I think the major part of weakness in NZD/CAD is over and we may see sideways trades with a upward bias. My target is 0.9205 with a stop loss of 0.9115
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Gonchar avatar
Gonchar 8 Sep.

индия рулит

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USD/JPY is on a crossroad.

USD:
US GDP Growth rose to 2.6 % (YoY) in second quarter of 2017 which marks a robust improvement from the first quarter of 2017 GDP growth rate of 1.4 % (YoY). The pick up in GDP growth rate is mainly driven by higher consumer spending and rising exports. Optimism about domestic economic conditions is giving the consumers the confidence to spend more as they expect the future income to rise while improvement in world economy is boosting exports as the demand for American products rise. Governme…
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A retracement possible in EUR/USD


EUR/USD suffered nearly 1 % losses after upbeat US Non farm payrolls report. Non farm payrolls in the US increased by 209 K in July of 2017 on back of solid job growth seen in food services and drinking places, professional and business services, and health care. This data points may reverse US doller weakness of recent weeks. I am expecting the EUR/USD to decline to 38.2 % Fibonacci retracement of recent rally from 1.1400 to 1.1910 in next week.
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killer195175 avatar

perfect analysis.

VAIBS1991 avatar

yeah rakesh bhai it seems to be working I have made money in all contest accounts and live a/c shorting EUR in last two days.

killer195175 avatar

thumbs up vaibhav. keep up the good work.

VAIBS1991 avatar

thanks bhai

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AUD/NZD to rally further.

AUD:
In Australia the Reserve Bank of Australia is expecting the Australian economy to grow at an annual rate of around 3 percent over the next couple of years and inflation is estimated to pick up gradually as the economy strengthens. Employment growth has been stronger over recent months, and has increased in all states. The unemployment rate is expected to decline a little over the next couple of years.
NZD:
The economic situation in New Zealand has brightened in recent months as New Zealand …
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VAIBS1991 avatar
VAIBS1991 24 Sep.

The economic situation in New Zealand has brightened in recent months as New Zealand has turned into a trade surplus economy driven by the growth in exports of Milk products and lumber. The domestic economy is also in good shape. The unemployment rate at 4.9% in last quarter nearly touched low of 8 years. The economy is expected to gain steam further as the construction sector should show rebound next quarter.

VAIBS1991 avatar
VAIBS1991 27 Sep.

In the meeting held on 5th September the RBA kept the interest rates unchanged at 1.5 % but gave much more positive indications about growth in economy.  As per recent economic data, inflation is expected to rise gradually, business investments is picking up, employment growth has become stronger, though labor hours remains week. The various forward-looking indicators point to continued growth in employment over the period ahead. Economic growth is still expected to increase gradually over the next couple of years to a little above 3%.

VAIBS1991 avatar
VAIBS1991 28 Sep.

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand kept its official cash rate unchanged at record low of 1.75 percent on September 28th, 2017. Major economic challenges such as persistent surplus capacity and extensive political uncertainty are yet to subside. GDP growth in the March quarter was lower than expected, with weaker export volumes and residential construction partially offset by stronger consumption. Headline inflation has increased over the past year in several countries, but moderated recently with the fall in energy prices. Nevertheless, the growth outlook remains positive.

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EUR/NZD to rally further.

EUR:
The Euro Area economy advanced 2.1 percent on quarter in the three months to June of 2017, which is better than 1.9 percent growth in the previous quarter ending March 2017. Household consumption and public spending were the main drivers of growth while fixed investment slowed sharply and net external demand contributed negatively. The GDP growth rate serves as a broad indicator for the health of Euro-zone economies. Robust GDP growth signals a heightened level of economic activity, which i…
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VAIBS1991 avatar
VAIBS1991 24 Sep.

The economic situation in New Zealand has brightened in recent months as New Zealand has turned into a trade surplus economy driven by the growth in exports of Milk products and lumber. The domestic economy is also in good shape. The unemployment rate at 4.9% in last quarter nearly touched low of 8 years. The economy is expected to gain steam further as the construction sector should show rebound next quarter.

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VAIBS1991 28 Sep.

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand kept its official cash rate unchanged at record low of 1.75 percent on September 28th, 2017. Major economic challenges such as persistent surplus capacity and extensive political uncertainty are yet to subside. GDP growth in the March quarter was lower than expected, with weaker export volumes and residential construction partially offset by stronger consumption. Headline inflation has increased over the past year in several countries, but moderated recently with the fall in energy prices. Nevertheless, the growth outlook remains positive.

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A correction likely in NZD/USD.

NZD:
The economic situation in New Zealand has brightened in recent months as New Zealand has turned
into a trade surplus economy driven by the growth in exports of Milk products and lumber.
The domestic economy is also in good shape. The unemployment rate at 4.9% in last quarter nearly touched low of 8 years.
The economy is expected to gain steam further as the construction sector should show rebound next quarter.
USD:
US GDP Growth rose to 2.6 % (YoY) in second quarter of 2017 which marks a …
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VAIBS1991 avatar
VAIBS1991 27 Sep.

The economic situation in New Zealand has brightened in recent months as New Zealand has turned into a trade surplus economy driven by the growth in exports of Milk products and lumber. The domestic economy is also in good shape. The unemployment rate at 4.9% in last quarter nearly touched low of 8 years. The economy is expected to gain steam further as the construction sector should show rebound next quarter.

VAIBS1991 avatar
VAIBS1991 28 Sep.

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand kept its official cash rate unchanged at record low of 1.75 percent on September 28th, 2017. Major economic challenges such as persistent surplus capacity and extensive political uncertainty are yet to subside. GDP growth in the March quarter was lower than expected, with weaker export volumes and residential construction partially offset by stronger consumption. Headline inflation has increased over the past year in several countries, but moderated recently with the fall in energy prices. Nevertheless, the growth outlook remains positive.

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Predicting EUR/AUD

EUR:
The Euro Area economy advanced 2.1 percent on quarter in the three months to June of 2017, which is better than 1.9 percent growth in the previous quarter ending March 2017. Household consumption and public spending were the main drivers of growth while fixed investment slowed sharply and net external demand contributed negatively. The GDP growth rate serves as a broad indicator for the health of Euro-zone economies. Robust GDP growth signals a heightened level of economic activity, which i…
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AUD/USD rally to continue.

AUD:
In Australia the Reserve Bank of Australia is expecting the Australian economy to grow at an annual rate of around 3 percent over the next couple of years and inflation is estimated to pick up gradually as the economy strengthens. Employment growth has been stronger over recent months, and has increased in all states. The unemployment rate is expected to decline a little over the next couple of years.
USD:
US GDP Growth rose to 2.6 % (YoY) in second quarter of 2017 which marks a robust impr…
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EUR/USD to remain strong.

EUR:
The Euro Area economy advanced 2.1 percent on quarter in the three months to June of 2017, which is better than 1.9 percent growth in the previous quarter ending March 2017. Household consumption and public spending were the main drivers of growth while fixed investment slowed sharply and net external demand contributed negatively. The GDP growth rate serves as a broad indicator for the health of Euro-zone economies. Robust GDP growth signals a heightened level of economic activity, which i…
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VAIBS1991 avatar
VAIBS1991 24 Sep.

US GDP Growth is expected to rise to 2.6 % (YoY) in second quarter of 2017 which will mark a robust improvement from the first quarter of 2017 GDP growth rate of 1.4 % (YoY). The pick up in GDP growth rate is mainly driven by higher consumer spending and rising exports. Optimism about domestic economic conditions is giving the consumers the confidence to spend more as they expect the future income to rise while improvement in world economy is boosting exports as the demand for American products rise. Government spending and inventories are proving drag on otherwise high GDP growth rate.

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Predicting EUR/USD

In coming months the euro is expected to remain under pressure amid concerns over the possibility of a Brexit or Trump-style shock result in France’s upcoming presidential election.
Worries over elections in the Netherlands, Germany and possibly Italy, as well as the ongoing row over Greece's bailout are adding to concerns over political risk in the euro area.
US dollar has been trading sideways with a downward bias since the start of the year amid a lack of clarity on U.S. President Donald Tru…
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lelipuzik avatar
lelipuzik 31 Mar.

really interesting

Natalia_Kisenko avatar

great analysis!

VAIBS1991 avatar
VAIBS1991 31 Mar.

In Germany Year-on-year, the GDP advanced 1.2 percent, slower than preliminary estimates of a 1.6 percent growth and a 1.5 percent expansion in the third quarter. It was the weakest expansion since the September quarter 2014. Household final consumption rose 1.5 percent, the same pace as in the previous quarter. Government consumption expanded 3.2 percent, down from a 3.5 percent expansion in the September quarter. Overall consumption contributed 1.5 percentage points to growth. Gross fixed capital formation grew 0.1 percent.

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VAIBS1991 31 Mar.

On the US dollar front there is a feeling that the economy is not as strong as everyone thinks and/or the Trump-growth agenda will take much longer than expected to implement and the Fed intends to push ahead with a three-hike plan that in and of itself, will trigger an economic retrenchment.

SiarheiVS avatar
SiarheiVS 31 Mar.

Хорошая статья.

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