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Economic Week Ahead, Technical Analysis | 12:00 GMT Dukascopy Research Webinar 30.01.2017

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Китай определяет курс монетарной политики ФРС


Китай является ключевым покупателем госдолга США, и это накладывает на Федеральную резервную систему определенные ограничения.
Как отмечает в своей статье на Project Syndicate профессор экономики и политологии Калифорнийского университета в Беркли Барри Эйхенгрин, ФРС вынуждена реализовывать монетарную политику с оглядкой на Китай.
"Большую часть года инвесторы напряженно следят за новостями и комментариями чиновников из ФРС, стремясь понять, когда произойдет долгожданное "повышение", то есть к…
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Margoshka avatar
Margoshka 18 11月

nice

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Trader's BASICS: How the Economy Works? in 30 minutes

Watch Ray Dalio (one of the best economists in this decade) simple but deep video about the inner workings of economies. I personally read a couple of books about macroeconomics, this video summarized everything I read about how the economic machine works. After 30 minutes you will have a different picture and a better understanding of the fundamentals needed for Forex trading. Made in a very professional way, one of my best 30 minutes ever invested in learning. If yo…
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Vojd avatar
Vojd 1 4月

Отличный фильм ! Мне понравился ! Спасибо Вам , Nihad !

Nihad avatar
Nihad 1 4月

Vojd I am glad you did Vojd. Thanks for your kindness, my friend
Я рад, что вы сделали Vojd. Спасибо за вашу доброту, мой друг

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EURo In Past Bear Markets

Summary
1) The past two major bear markets for the euro were significantly larger than the current one.
2) Currencies are prone to large overshoots.
3) The peak in monetary divergence is not known and even if it was, the incentive structure of interest rates favors a continued decline in the euro.
The first bear market is associated with the policy overshoot with Reagan's stimulative fiscal policy and Volcker's tight monetary policy.The euro's equivalent lost about 58% of its value.
The secon
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driven avatar
driven 24 3月

Thanks for the great info Alok. I have a few questions:
1) You seem to be quoting from somewhere, what are your sources?
2) I take it that the key message is that you/they expect the Euro to drop to $0.80 - any timeline for this?
3) This seems almost entirely about the US side to this, surely economic activity and policies in Europe are at least as important?

Thanks again.

1darkmatter1 avatar

Hey Uri, thanks for going through the article!
1) I work for the largest stock pitching journal(yes US based), so me and my team compile a few macro articles along with stock recos. Here I only see technical analysis blogs and therefore I post our team's 1-2 macro articles/day for those interested.

2) you can see it as early as next week. I think we will see that drop before the next quarter.
3) Yes, at the moment..its general consensus that Eurozone is weak and the economic activity and policies are nothing that we dont know and are being discussed and debated for a long time (cont)

1darkmatter1 avatar

(cont.) and its feasibility has long factored in the currency.

Would like to hear your views on this. Thanks

driven avatar
driven 25 3月

1) Ok, that makes sense.
2) Wow $0.80 by next quarter (or even next week!) seems scary - as you say you think fundamentals are already priced in, you think this drop will be entirely due to market sentiment?
3) I get what you're saying, it just seems to me that if we see the Euro drop as precipitously as you suggest it will have to involve more than just the Fed's actions but rather something serious happening in Europe, either politically or economically.

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World Cup Finale: Emerging Market vs Developing Market team


As you already know the Brasil World Cup 2014 finale will be played between Germany (Developing Market team) vs Argentina (Emerging Market team). In this blog post I just want to take the time and have a look into the economics data and see how the two economies stack up against each other. Last time I've wrote about the World Cup I've applied a carry trade strategy by going long a basket of emerging currency market funded by a basket of developed market currencies and see who would win based o…
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Texas Hold 'Em Poker Tournaments And Value Investing

Poker and investing are both about decisions amidst risk and uncertainty, played out in real time. The core of both poker and investing is the maximization of average profit based upon probability. In both activities, intuition is a dangerous guide. Quantitative reasoning, instead, is key to exploiting counter-parties. Both rely on the branch of economics known as utility theory. Utility theorists quantify preference orders such that a utility maximizer can determine how to make rational decisio…
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Dukascopy Vice President joins webinar at 12:00 GMT

Hello dear Trader,
Do you want to get a grasp on what has happened in the global economy? Join our today's Dukascopy Research Webinar at 12:00 GMT, where Marc Spaelti, Dukascopy Vice President and Chief Operations Officer, will discuss such hot topics as US economic growth and Japan being out of deflation territory. Mr Spaelti is already well known for delivering excellent presentations and possessing extensive knowledge in the field of economics and forex. Apart from that, Dukascopy Research Te…
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Broadcast your own webinar and earn up to $40

Dear Community Members,
Have you ever tried to broadcast your very own webinar on the Dukascopy Live TV platform? In case you haven't, but you feel like sharing your great trading ideas with others and earning some additional money on your trading account, feel free to propose a topic for your webinar at: http://www.dukascopy.com/tv/Live?path=topic/show&id=5156.
You can earn up to $40 for broadcasting one-hour webinars on the platform. The sum of money that you will earn depends on your ability …
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Marc Spaelti joins the Research Webinar at 12:00 GMT

Dear Community Members,
Do you enjoy webinars with Marc Spaelti as much we, Dukascopy Reserch Team, do? -Then be sure to join the Daily Research Webinar at 12:00 GMT to hear Marc Spaelti, Dukascopy Vice President and COO, talking about the impacts on GBP and Euro Periphery - the new Haven. And you can always ask him your questions about all possible topics related to forex trading and global economy.
Apart from that we will also discuss the economic data release on Canadian CPI due at 12:30 GMT…
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Marc Spaelti, Dukascopy VP, joins the Webinar at 12:00GMT

Dear Community Members!
Great news! Today at 12:00 GMT Marc Spaelti, Dukascopy VP and COO, joins the Research Webinar to discuss the Fed seeking for broader data range. We will also discuss Russian stock market and present a Market Research on the Euro currency and another great Trade Pattern idea. Be sure to tune in at 12:00 GMT!
Your Dukascopy Research Team
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