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Forex Americas wrap: Euro lets out a shriek

Forex headlines for October 31, 2013:
•. Initial jobless claims 340K vs 338K
•. Chicago PMI 65.9 vs 55.0 but caveats apply
•. Canadian Aug GDP +0.3% vs +0.1% exp
•. Numerous banks make calls for ECB to cut rates next week
•. BOE’s Weale says unemployment has surprised in the past, could do it again
•. Rand Paul throws in the towel on Yellen blockade
•. Gold down $20 to $1324
•. WTI crude down 50-cents to $96.27
•. CAD leads, EUR lags
The euro fell the most in four months, plunging…
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mag 31 Oct.

Thanks Anna

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Germany aims to issue no new debt from 2015

German finance minister Wolfgang Schaeuble (in an advance copy of an interview with Focus magazine seen on Sunday) said in the Reuter's article:
  • Aims to issue no new debt from 2015
  • To cut the level of debt to GDP to below 60% (currently around 80%) within 10 years
  • Did not mention plans to pay back Germany’s just over 2 trillion euro debt
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Some Cool Photos!

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Trading is about watching and listening to what the price

The dollar’s failure to continue the rally as yesterdays deal unfolded was the sign of things to come. The Dagong downgrade just added to what was already happening. The threat of downgrades have been well publicised all the way through the debt crisis and despite the deal they may still happen.
The ratings agencies weren’t just hanging on the deal but the way the US dealt with it. It wouldn’t surprise me to see another downgrade hit the wires. Fitch has already put the US on a warning and the o…
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mag 17 Oct.

analysis - evaluation - evolution -action

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Both sides confident US house will pass bipartisan senate bill

Senior Democrat aide
  • Boehner calls senate leadership to say will vote first
USD picking up again.
USD/JPY has eyes on 99.00
EUR/USD down to 1.3473
GBP/USD 1.5904 and facing support at the big number
USD/CHF 0.9168
EUR/CHF walking around in a daze as usual and falls to 1.2349 from the highs at 1.2366
Stocks still holding the highs with the S&P reaching 1721. 1729 is the all time high.
Gold is holding steady just off the lows. at $1272
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mag 16 Oct.

Thanks Anna

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Forex Americas wrap. So near but yet so far

Forex trading headlines for 14 October 2013:
•Australia and the US top to Chinese spending charts
•Asmussen looking forward to Spain and Ireland leaving bailout program
•Greece’s Stournaras says “Where’s my promised debt rollovers?” Asmussen says “Jog on pal”
•Traders stick with calls for a US debt solution before D-day
•Merkel hoping for coalition deal by weekend
•BOE’s incoming new deputy governor Jon Cunliffe says UK firms using up capacity before hiring
•BOE’s Cunliffe says there plenty of a…
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mag 15 Oct.

Thank You Anna

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mag 15 Oct.

do you like 45 years Pin Ups?

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Dollar feeling some pressure as US comes online

The buck is under the cosh in what little early trading there is.
USD/JPY never even looked like closing the gap and is now pushing towards the lows again at 98.06. Currently 98.10.
EUR/USD is up to 1.3592 and cable has broken into 1.6000 and run some stops to 1.6015.
USD/CHF closed the gap as did EUR/CHF but those moves have reversed plus some. EUR/CHF has broken the overnight gap low of 1.2326 after hitting a high of 1.2359 while USD/CHF is at a low of 0.9068.
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OECD jumps on the inflation bandwagon

The OECD has just releases their inflation figures for August. Year on year readings:
  • G20 countries 3.0% vs 3.2% in July
  • EU 1.5% from 1.7%
  • EZ 1.3% from 1.6%
  • France 1.0% vs 1.2% prior
  • Italy 1.2% unch
  • Germany 1.6% vs 1.9% prior
  • UK 2.7% vs 2.8%
  • US 1.5% from 2.0%
  • China 2.6% vs 2.7%
Obviously the data is a lagging somewhat but it’s yet another sign of falling inflation but this time on a global scale.
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Unicredit says sell EUR/USD for the short-term

Unicredit says to sell EUR/USD at current levels for a target of 1.3300 and a stop loss at 1.3570.
They say the initial post-FOMC US dollar decline has faded and the euro has lagged the correction in other pairs. They note 2-year swap spreads and their proprietary model based on local PMIs.
BNP Paribas also talked about selling the euro yesterday. Rate differential trades are a tough business because things can get way out of line before they correct. In any case, according to BNP Paribas’ …
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Dieselfx 3 Oct.

ah good, then it's time to buy :))

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Currency Predictions for week of Sept 9-13th

EUR/USD Last Friday’s disappointing news regarding the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) numbers in the United States continued to affect the EUR/USD currency pair. Specifically, the EUR/US rose by 0.56% in US trading on Monday. As investors are unsure whether tapering will begin in the US, they chose to avoid the US dollar. However, the European Central Bank (ECB) also recently lowered its economic growth forecast for 2014 and the President of the ECB, Mario Draghi, recently stated that he was cautious
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Haynes6EU 12 Sep.

Thank for your prediction :)

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