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USD/JPY Forecast on the COT reports

Решение принято на основе публикуемых данных отчетов COT.
Валютная пара USD/JPY. Не коммерческие позиции.
Long 42.053
Short 78.798
Net -36.745
% соотношение Long и Short позиций -20.2
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EURusd overview

The uncertainty in the German political arena still remains to be resolved, despite the positive statements from ECB officials recently, but continues to exert pressure on euro assets. In addition, concerns about the financial policies of economically troubled countries such as Italy and Spain are among the factors that create unease on the market side. On the US side, President Donald Trump-axis events, including developments in trade wars especially with China and the EU, have a wide repercuss…
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EURusd overview

Comments from European Central Bank(ECB) officials continue to be effective on the pair side. Finally, the President of the Central Bank of Lithuania's speech that quantitative monetary expansion should not continue after December has led to upward attacks on the currency side despite recent political uncertainties in Germany. On the US side, the new home sales data we have followed yesterday is above expectations, while developments in trade wars are closely monitored. The latest US President D…
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Основные события этой недели (Часовой пояс GMT по Гринвичу )

Основные события этой недели
(Часовой пояс GMT по Гринвичу )
Понедельник 27 февраля
13:30 (USD) Заказы на товары длительного пользования (янв)
(Прогноз: 1.7%, Предыдущее: -0.5%)
13:30 (USD) Заказы на товары длительного пользования без учета транспорта (янв)
(Прогноз: 0.5%, Предыдущее: 0.5%)
Вторник 28 февраля
13:30 (USD) Ценовой индекс ВВП США (кв4)
(Прогноз: 2.1%, Предыдущее: 2.1%)
15:00 (USD) Уровень доверия потребителей (фев)
(Прогноз: 110.9, Предыдущее: 111.8)
Среда 1 марта
02:00 (USD) Высту…
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#forex COT

GBP NET SHORT NARROWS FROM LAST WEEK’S RECORD
Data in this report cover up to Tuesday Aug 30 & were released Friday Sept 2.
• This week’s changes in sentiment were relatively limited as investors added to EUR shorts while paring risk in CAD. The net GBP position narrowed from its record short as investors added risk to both sides, and investors added to bullish JPY positions for a fifth consecutive week. The aggregate USD position softened modestly.
• Investors pared CAD risk in the week ended…
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cosma 5 Sep

FxCox  On Twitter

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#Forex #COT Chart > Commercial Vs Large Traders From

#Forex #COT Chart > Commercial Vs Large Traders From May2016
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GBP/USD Open Interest Profile + COT

Глядя на распределение открытого интереса нового сентябрьского контракта пары GBP/USD видно, что есть у нее потенциал для снижения... вплоть до 1,24. Верхний максимум находится выше 1,35. Также можем наблюдать большой прирост колл опционов на уровне 1,335.
В свежем отчете Commitments Of Traders видно, что силы перераспределяются и входят в стадию возможного разворота тенденции. Учитывая все вышесказанное могу только подтвердить свои ожидания похода пары вверх
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COT REPORT

#FX SENTIMENT REPORT #Cot Friday, March 4, 2016
via @FxCox #forex
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Cot Report

Data in this report cover up to Tuesday Feb 16 & were released Friday Feb 19.



Bullish USD sentiment continues to moderate, the aggregate long falling to $10.9bn—its lowest level since July 2014. This week’s shift has been broad, with a deterioration in USD sentiment against all currencies (including gold) except MXN.
CAD bears have liquidated their positions for a third consecutive week, driving the bulk of the most recent $0.5bn narrowing in the net short to $3.3bn. Confidence among bulls re…
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FX SENTIMENT REPORT COMMITMENT OF TRADERS.

Data in this report cover up to Tuesday Jan 19 & were released Friday Jan 22.

HOLIDAYS & VOLATILITY DRIVE SPECULATIVE POSITIONING
• Changes in speculave posioning in aggregate appear subdued in the latest CFTC report covering the week through January 19th, perhaps re?ecng the MLK holiday on the 18th. The market’s aggregate long USD posion this week stood at USD27.3bn—more or less exactly the same as the prior week’s posion. Sll, some fairly large posioning shis were taking place below the surfac…
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