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Aussie extends losses after weak retail sales

Australian dollar continues its slide. A weaker than expected retail sales report didn't help, even though it is said to have been weather related. There's some stabilization in oil but both copper and iron ore are trending down.
Technically, the pair has retraced more than 61.8% of the year's gains. Some demand is to be expected near 0.73 and 0.72 with year's low (0.7165) in focus. 0.745 - 0.75 was a decent support up until recently and should now act as a resistance.
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RBA cuts again

The RBA cut its cash rate to a record low 1.50% from 1.75%. Rate statement does not look particularly dovish - there's no explicit hint of further easing though they didn't close the door on it either.
The reaction in the Aussie was in line with the cut being almost fully discounted. A spike lower was promptly reversed and the price was back to unchanged after a good hour. Still attractive yield, recovering commodities and Fed in no hurry to hike will keep the pair supported.
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TInna avatar
TInna 2 Aug.

thanks for the info. very informative!

al_dcdemo avatar

Yw :) I'm glad that you find it so!

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Aussie starts the week sideways

Aussie started the week with a 20 pip drop but it recovered to be around opening levels as I type. Commodities (particularly metals) are down, Chinese stocks too, but there was some encouraging data (MI Inflation Gauge, Company Operating Profits, Private Sector Credit) from Australia overnight.
0.7125 - 0.7150 support zone, that includes Previous Week Low, 50 DMA and broken Weekly Trendline (drawn off of September 2014, May 2015 and October 2015 highs), is crucial. 0.7200 - 0.7225, which hosts 1…
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